Speculated the Democratic Party will struggle with the same issue that Republicans did in the 2016 election. One in which too many people entered the field, and the result being a less than stellar candidate. Different names have been thrown around like Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris, and others. But now it is former First Lady Michelle Obama whose name is being thrown into the mix. Despite having profusely denied any interest in doing so in the past.
One Democratic pollster and analyst who used to work for former President Bill Clinton has maintained that Michelle Obama is the last best hope for the party if she were to run in the 2020 election. Furthermore, that the Party would be lost without her. The pollster argues that the party has no clear mission or vision right now other than opposing President Trump. Ironically enough, it’s something they accused the Republicans of when President Obama was in office.
Her role in running would be to unite the Democratic Party just in time for the 2018 midterm elections. She appears to be the most unanimously loved and respected member of the party at the moment who carries at least a perceived level of influential clout. Even though this pollster makes it clear he does not agree with many of her positions and initiatives that she advances.
The Hill reported the following, “It cannot be overstated how eagerly the Democrats want to take back the White House in 2020. The Democrats face many obstacles in this effort, but the greatest threat is the fierce internal divisions within the party. Two of the leading prospective presidential candidates, Sens. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) and Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), have begun national fundraising operations. Former Vice President Joe Biden has been busy building a national email list to communicate directly with his supporters, and Rep. John Delaney (D-Md.) has already announced his presidential candidacy.
The only person I can see accomplishing this would be none other than the party’s most popular political figure: Michelle Obama. Let me be clear: This is not an endorsement. I have been, and still am, critical of Barack Obama’s presidency. Michelle Obama would not be my candidate, and I do not agree with many of the positions I believe she would advance. But as an analyst, Michelle Obama is clearly the Democrats’ best chance to reunite the party and win back the White House in 2020.” He continued his opinion piece saying, “Michelle Obama is perceived as a strong, well-qualified leader with immense national popularity.
Broadly, the polls show she is respected by the American people and by the near-entirety of the Democratic Party. Although Michelle Obama has stated that she is not interested in a presidential bid, her appeal and support for her husband remain robust. According to the January 2017 USA Today/Gallup poll, Michelle Obama left the White House with a 68 percent favorability rating, compared with 58 percent for President Obama and 61 percent for Vice President Biden.
While it is common for first ladies to be more favored than their husbands, Michelle Obama’s favorability is substantially higher than Hillary Clinton’s rating of 56 percent from 2000 when she and President Clinton left the White House. Further, in plain terms, Michelle Obama would be a far superior candidate to Hillary Clinton. I opposed Hillary Clinton because she faced ethical issues that could very well have initiated a constitutional crisis had she been elected.
Michelle Obama does not face such controversy. Furthermore, Michelle Obama’s favorability rating is significantly greater than President Trump’s. According to the RealClear Politics Average, Trump’s latest favorability rating lies at 39.7 percent – a whopping 30 points less than Michelle Obama. Just last month, Public Policy Polling found there to be “significant yearning for a return to the days of President Obama,” with 52 percent of voters saying they wish Barack Obama was still president, and only 39 percent preferring President Trump.
In fact, in a series of hypothetical match-ups between leading Democrats and President Trump, Barack Obama’s 52 percent represents the highest level of support, outnumbering Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren in particular. This data makes it clear that President Obama, or at the very least a candidate intimately associated with his tenure, would have a better chance at defeating President Trump than any of the 2020 hopefuls. Considering that Michelle Obama had an even higher favorability rating than President Obama when he left office, she clearly would have a tremendous opportunity to succeed if she ran. As an analyst, I believe that she is the candidate the divided Democratic Party needs. Otherwise, the party could well rip itself apart.
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